socforecast: Solmate Sea of Cortes Forecast
URL: http://svsarana.com/wx-data/Sea%20of%20Cortez%20Forecast.html
Date: 23 Dec 2024 11:31:22 -0000
Last-Modified: 23 Dec 2024 08:02:00 -0000
(Converted from HTML)
Sea of Cortez Forecast
Sea of Cortez Forecast
December 23, 2024, 3:02 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast
Questions/Comments visit http://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 13N97W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 12N96W TO 13N98W TO 11N101W TO
09N102W TO 08N101W TO 08N98W TO 12N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N98W TO 12N98W TO
12N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N94W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
ASIDE FROM THOSE CONDITIONS, HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR
28N127.5W, WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD TO
OFFSHORE OF CABO CORRIENTES. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND A TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO IS SUPPORTING
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
WATERS, WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE
INCLUDING INSIDE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE IN THE 4 TO
7 FT OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF SW MEXICO TO 110W, WHILE SEAS ARE
8 TO 15 FT FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD. SEAS ARE
3 FT OR LESS INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA EXCEPT SLIGHTLY HIGHER
NEAR THE ENTRANCE.
FOR THE FORECAST, OTHER THAN THE AFOREMENTIONED GALE WARNING IN
THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION AND THE SIGNIFICANT NW SWELLS, HIGH
PRESSURE WEST OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS
PULSING TO FRESH AT TIMES OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH
TUE, THEN BECOMING FRESH TO STRONG FROM CABO SAN LAZARO NORTHWARD
TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT, WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL BE
IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. SIGNIFICANT NW SWELL WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD TO IMPACT MOST WATERS THROUGH
THE WEEK. PEAK SEAS OF 15 FT OR HIGHER OFFSHORE OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE EXPECTED EARLY TODAY, PEAKING ACROSS
SOUTH AND CENTRAL BAJA OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH TUE.
SIGNIFICANT NW SWELL: A LARGE, COMPLEX, AND POWERFUL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MOVE NE THROUGH TONIGHT,
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER SIMILAR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SWEEPING JUST
NORTH OF THE AREA WATERS THROUGH TUE. THESE SYSTEMS ARE
GENERATING SEVERAL ROUNDS OF LARGE NW SWELL THAT WILL PROPAGATE
INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS
EARLY MON, SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT COVER THE WATERS ROUGHLY WEST
OF A LINE FROM NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO IN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO
07N133W WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER SEAS AHEAD OF THE NEXT SET OF 12 FT
OR GREATER SEAS WHICH EXTENDS FROM WEST OF 30N127W TO 21N140W.
PEAK SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 20-22 FT NEAR AND JUST
SOUTHEAST OF 30N140W. THE LARGE SWELL WILL REACH ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF SW MEXICO MID-WEEK, AND JUST BEYOND THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA THEREAFTER. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON A
GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AND SIGNIFICANT NW
SWELL THAT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas W 0-5.7 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - N 8-10, Seas W 0-5 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas W 0-4.9 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 11-14, Seas W 0-5.9 feet @ 20sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SW 1.9-2.7 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.6-2.2 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NNW 17-21, Seas W 0-5.5 feet @ 19sec, Southern Half SW 7-9, Seas S 0.8-2.1 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-18, Seas W 0-5.2 feet @ 17sec, Southern Half WSW 5-6, Seas S 1-2.2 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NNW 7-9, Seas S 0-2 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half SE 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?