outsidebajaforecast: Solmate Outside Baja Forecast


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Outside Baja Forecast

Outside Baja Forecast
August 21, 2017, 2:30 pm (UTC: -07:00)
Subject: Outside Baja Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 18.3N 131.6W 960 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 21
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...180 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 270 NM N AND 220 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 21.2N 133.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS
TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 400 NM NW QUADRANT...175 NM SE
QUADRANT...260 NM NE QUADRANT AND 160 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 15N W OF 128W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 24.8N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND
50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 400 NM NW QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...260
NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA SEAS N OF 17N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL KENNETH NEAR 27.8N 136.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL KENNETH NEAR 29.6N 137.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KENNETH NEAR 31.0N
138.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 127W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN N SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH HURRICANE KENNETH.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON AUG 21...

.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 20N
BETWEEN 129W AND 132W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W S OF 18N...
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 145 NM EITHER SIDE OF
WAVE AXIS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N89W 1011 MB TO
LOW PRES NEAR 10N98W 1010 MB TO 10N113W TO 07N124W...RESUMING
NEAR 14N132W BEYOND 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 170 NM S
OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 127W...WITHIN 200 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN
95W AND 103W AND BETWEEN 117W AND 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 129W AND 136W.

SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 11-15, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 11sec
TONITE - NW 11-15, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 11sec
TUESDAY - NW 12-16, Seas NW 4-7 feet @ 9sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 13-17, Seas W 4-7 feet @ 10sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 13-18, Seas WSW 5-8 feet @ 11sec
TONITE - NW 13-18, Seas WSW 5-8 feet @ 10sec
TUESDAY - NW 12-16, Seas W 5-8 feet @ 10sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 13-18, Seas WSW 4-7 feet @ 9sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 9-12, Seas SW 4-6 feet @ 11sec
TONITE - NW 8-11, Seas SW 3-6 feet @ 10sec
TUESDAY - NW 8-11, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 10sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - WNW 9-12, Seas S 3-6 feet @ 9sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 14-19, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 9sec, Middle 2/3 NW 13-18, Seas WSW 4-7 feet @ 9sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 11-16, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 9sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-18, Seas W 5-8 feet @ 9sec, Middle 2/3 NW 14-19, Seas WSW 5-8 feet @ 9sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 14-19, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 9sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-14, Seas WSW 4-6 feet @ 9sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 13-18, Seas NW 5-8 feet @ 6sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 13-18, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 7-10, Seas WNW 4-6 feet @ 10sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-13, Seas SW 4-6 feet @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 8-11, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 11sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 9-13, Seas NW 5-8 feet @ 10sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-13, Seas S 5-8 feet @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 10-14, Seas S 4-7 feet @ 16sec